Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BRK
0-3
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
4-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 1-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria and Gremio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Vitoria had 49% of the ball to Gremio's 51%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 1.54 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Vitoria and 1.83 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Gremio?
Vitoria 1-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 42%, draw 25%, Gremio 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vitoria), BTTS No went the other way.