Sao Paulo vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Juventude — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Juventude
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Juventude
BRK
2-2
HT 2-0
Sao Paulo
BRK
3-1
HT 2-0
Juventude
BR1
Sao Paulo 1-2 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics
Juventude edged past Sao Paulo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 69% of the ball to Juventude's 31%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.67 for Juventude.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Sao Paulo 1-2 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 50%, draw 26%, Juventude 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.