Juventude 0-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.55
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
11%
14.4
X/1
9%
6.89
X/2
14%
4.4
X/X
11%
4.0
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.94
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.17/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
+0% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
24.2 Crosses 21.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.59 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
286 Passes 391
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.10.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
27.06.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
13.05.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BRK
21.04.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 2-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRK
07.12.2021 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-1 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
29.08.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
0-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.77 xG 0.49
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
253 Passes 474
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Sao Paulo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Juventude had 37% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 63%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Juventude and 1.67 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Sao Paulo?

Juventude 0-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juventude 32%, draw 31%, Sao Paulo 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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