Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 22 Jul 2024

Cuiaba
0-1 HT 0-0
Fluminense
📅22/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cuiaba vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.0
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.71
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
17%
4.77
X/2
15%
5.65
X/X
13%
3.48
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.7
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.50
-27% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.7 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cuiaba vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fluminense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 0.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
353 Passes 407
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
14.05.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
07.08.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
17.04.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
21.09.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-2 HT 1-2 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
06.06.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1

Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
0-1
AWAY Fluminense
0.64 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 Passes 407
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense nicked a narrow win over Cuiaba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Fluminense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Cuiaba had 47% of the ball to Fluminense's 53%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.64 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cuiaba and 1.17 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Fluminense?

Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 38%, draw 29%, Fluminense 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cuiaba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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