Fortaleza vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Goianiense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
0-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Goianiense
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Goianiense
BR1
Fortaleza 3-1 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza got the better of Atletico Goianiense 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza had 60% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fortaleza and 1.00 for Atletico Goianiense.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Atletico Goianiense?
Fortaleza 3-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Atletico Goianiense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 49%, draw 27%, Atletico Goianiense 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.