Flamengo 5-0 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Jun 2025

📅02/06/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.65
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
20.55
X/1
21%
3.67
X/2
9%
16.65
X/X
10%
6.12
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
5%
15.6
2/X
7%
24.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +28%
1.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.71
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.8 Crosses 13.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.10
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
469 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
12.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
05.11.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
02.07.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
29.09.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 3-2 HT 1-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
05.06.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
5-0
AWAY Fortaleza
2.43 xG 0.38
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
565 Passes 276
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo swept aside Fortaleza 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Flamengo had 65% of the ball to Fortaleza's 35%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.43 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Flamengo and 1.17 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Fortaleza?

Flamengo 5-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 56%, draw 22%, Fortaleza 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ BTTS No
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