Miami AC 3-2 Pinellas County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 2 Jul 2024

Miami AC
3-2
Pinellas County
📅02/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Miami AC vs Pinellas County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-14.9pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Miami AC v Pinellas County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami AC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Pinellas County EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.40/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-83% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +129%
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Miami AC vs Pinellas County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami AC edged past Pinellas County 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Miami AC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Miami AC vs Pinellas County?

Miami AC 3-2 Pinellas County in the USA - USL League 2 on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami AC vs Pinellas County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miami AC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Miami AC 50%, draw 24%, Pinellas County 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miami AC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miami AC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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