Ogden City 1-1 New Mexico United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 2 Jul 2024

Ogden City
1-1 HT 1-1
New Mexico United II
📅02/07/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Ogden City vs New Mexico United II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.6pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ogden City v New Mexico United II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogden City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United II EU Bookmakers 49%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.30/2.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/1.83
-13% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ogden City vs New Mexico United II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogden City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY New Mexico United II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
14.07.2023 Ogden City Ogden City 3-4 HT 2-2 New Mexico United II New Mexico United II USL2
POST-MATCH Ogden City vs New Mexico United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogden City and New Mexico United II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Ogden City vs New Mexico United II?

Ogden City 1-1 New Mexico United II in the USA - USL League 2 on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogden City vs New Mexico United II?

Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ogden City 33%, draw 25%, New Mexico United II 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New Mexico United II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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