South Bend Lions 1-3 Midwest United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 2 Jul 2024

South Bend Lions
1-3 HT 1-3
Midwest United
📅02/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

South Bend Lions vs Midwest United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
62%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+13.1pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.5pp
62%
Away Win
85%
-23.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

South Bend Lions v Midwest United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Bend Lions EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Midwest United EU Bookmakers 91%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

South Bend Lions vs Midwest United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Bend Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Midwest United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
18.06.2023 South Bend Lions South Bend Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Midwest United Midwest United USL2
20.05.2023 Midwest United Midwest United 5-1 HT 0-0 South Bend Lions South Bend Lions USL2
POST-MATCH South Bend Lions vs Midwest United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midwest United got the better of South Bend Lions 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Midwest United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Midwest United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for South Bend Lions and 2.50 for Midwest United.

What was the final score of South Bend Lions vs Midwest United?

South Bend Lions 1-3 Midwest United in the USA - USL League 2 on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Bend Lions vs Midwest United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midwest United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split South Bend Lions 18%, draw 20%, Midwest United 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midwest United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midwest United) ✓ Over 2.5
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