Daegu 1-2 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 34% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.71
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.61
X/2
12%
5.95
X/X
16%
4.46
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.07
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.9pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +17%
1.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.4 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gangwon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
400 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 3-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
16.02.2025 Daegu Daegu 2-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
28.09.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
26.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
03.04.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
01.09.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over Daegu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Daegu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daegu and 1.67 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gangwon?

Daegu 1-2 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daegu 41%, draw 27%, Gangwon 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
2 Jul 2025
13:00 Gimpo Citizen vs Bucheon 1995 Analysis →
13:00 Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai Analysis →
13:30 FC Seoul vs Jeonbuk Motors Analysis →