Gwangju 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
4.36
6+ Goals
12%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.62
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
14%
6.14
X/2
11%
5.05
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
13%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.42
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.06
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.4 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 383
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
02.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
21.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
10.07.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju edged past Ulsan Hyundai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gwangju found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gwangju and 1.33 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gwangju 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 40%, draw 27%, Ulsan Hyundai 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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