Gwangju 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
5.12
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.8
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
9%
6.05
X/2
14%
4.95
X/X
11%
3.93
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.53
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.93/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.41
-23% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
367 Passes 426
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
21.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
10.07.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
15.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
1-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.60 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
28 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
285 Passes 321
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju and Ulsan Hyundai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Gwangju had 47% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 53%, shots finished 28-13, expected goals 1.60 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gwangju and 1.33 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gwangju 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 33%, draw 27%, Ulsan Hyundai 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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