Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.94
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
10%
5.93
X/2
14%
5.67
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.68
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.01/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.28
-2% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
21.2 Crosses 18.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.33 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
434 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
5 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
23.11.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
21.07.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
03.04.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 5-1 HT 4-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
12.10.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0-1
AWAY FC Seoul
0.74 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul squeezed past Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Seoul found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 55% of the ball to FC Seoul's 45%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.74 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.67 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul?

Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 38%, draw 26%, FC Seoul 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
28 May 2025
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