Gimcheon Sangmu 1-3 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.79
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
20%
5.38
X/2
13%
5.66
X/X
9%
4.11
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
11%
4.08
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 37%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.01/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.28
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
14.0 Crosses 15.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
413 Passes 380
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
03.04.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 5-1 HT 4-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
12.10.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
15.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
28.05.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-3
AWAY FC Seoul
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 4
385 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul beat Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 55% of the ball to FC Seoul's 45%, shots finished 22-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.83 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-3 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 45%, draw 24%, FC Seoul 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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