Ulsan Hyundai 4-2 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 32% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.51
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.53
X/2
16%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.77
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.92
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.13/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.41
+57% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
11.7 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Suwon City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
574 Passes 302
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
05.07.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
06.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
24.09.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-3 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
06.06.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-3 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
19.03.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
4-2
AWAY Suwon City
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
383 Passes 428
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai beat Suwon City 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 47% of the ball to Suwon City's 53%, shots finished 16-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.00 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon City?

Ulsan Hyundai 4-2 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 41%, draw 24%, Suwon City 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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