Gangwon 1-0 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
12%
19.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.09 — our 23% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.36
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
16%
5.99
X/2
9%
5.11
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.49
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 12% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.61/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/2.07
+49% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
12.9 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
325 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
10.07.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
01.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-4 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
26.08.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
28.06.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
21.05.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
1-0
AWAY Pohang Steelers
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
305 Passes 511
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon edged past Pohang Steelers 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gangwon had 39% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 61%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gangwon and 1.83 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers?

Gangwon 1-0 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 41%, draw 27%, Pohang Steelers 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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23 Nov 2024
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