Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.75
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.68
X/2
14%
7.11
X/X
6%
5.04
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
9%
4.95
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.68 — our 24% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.64/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.41
-58% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Suwon City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.17 xG 0.56
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
549 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
06.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
24.09.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-3 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
06.06.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-3 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
19.03.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
18.09.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-2
AWAY Suwon City
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
489 Passes 280
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 61% of the ball to Suwon City's 39%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 0.67 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon City?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 50%, draw 21%, Suwon City 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
18 Aug 2024
13:00 Gangwon vs Gwangju Analysis →