Gangwon 3-2 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
15%
4.88
X/2
14%
6.27
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.54
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 34%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.61/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.54
+150% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +134%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
28.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.86 xG 2.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
275 Passes 418
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
10.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
08.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
07.07.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
23.04.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
31.10.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 2-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
3-2
AWAY Gwangju
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
276 Passes 464
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon squeezed past Gwangju 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Gangwon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gangwon had 40% of the ball to Gwangju's 60%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangwon and 1.33 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Gangwon 3-2 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 40%, draw 27%, Gwangju 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
18 Aug 2024
13:00 Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon City Analysis →