Gangwon 1-1 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.31
X/2
8%
7.83
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.83
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 29%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.29
+140% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Daegu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.20 xG 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
396 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
03.04.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
01.09.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.07.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
11.03.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
10.08.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
1-1
AWAY Daegu
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
400 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon and Daegu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gangwon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gangwon had 56% of the ball to Daegu's 44%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangwon and 0.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Daegu?

Gangwon 1-1 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 45%, draw 29%, Daegu 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gangwon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gangwon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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