Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
9%
8.36
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.1
2/X
9%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.32
-27% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.4
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.24 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
03.09.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
01.07.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
23.04.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
16.10.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
30.07.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2-1
AWAY Jeju United
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
452 Passes 295
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors edged past Jeju United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jeonbuk Motors as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 59% of the ball to Jeju United's 41%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 0.50 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United?

Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 49%, draw 27%, Jeju United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ BTTS Yes
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