AGF Aarhus 2-1 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.93/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/2.21
+6% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Horsens
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.83 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
294 Passes 255
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-0 HT 0-3 AC Horsens AC Horsens HAZ
03.03.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
26.08.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
16.12.2020 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAK
13.12.2020 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-2 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
18.10.2020 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus edged past AC Horsens 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.50 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

AGF Aarhus 2-1 AC Horsens in the Friendlies on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 48%, draw 28%, AC Horsens 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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