Safa 5-2 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.16
Draw
25%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-23.0pp
25%
Draw
10%
+14.4pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.61/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/3.44
+30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -35%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
379 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Tadamon Sour
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
18.05.2025 Safa Safa 3-0 HT 0-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
18.04.2025 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour 0-2 HT 0-1 Safa Safa LUBN
02.03.2025 Safa Safa 3-1 HT 1-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa cruised past Tadamon Sour 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Safa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Safa and 0.33 for Tadamon Sour.

What was the final score of Safa vs Tadamon Sour?

Safa 5-2 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Safa 60%, draw 25%, Tadamon Sour 16%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
2 Jul 2025
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