Safa 3-0 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.81
No
54%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
75%
-15.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
7%
+14.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.5pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.68/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/3.33
+73% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -33%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tadamon Sour
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
18.04.2025 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour 0-2 HT 0-1 Safa Safa LUBN
02.03.2025 Safa Safa 3-1 HT 1-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa swept aside Tadamon Sour 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Safa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Safa and 0.50 for Tadamon Sour.

What was the final score of Safa vs Tadamon Sour?

Safa 3-0 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Safa 60%, draw 19%, Tadamon Sour 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
18 May 2025
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