Al Nejmeh 1-1 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 48%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nejmeh
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahed
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.04.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
26.01.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh and Al Ahed couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahed led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Nejmeh and 1.50 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Al Nejmeh 1-1 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 33%, draw 26%, Al Ahed 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahed), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
18 May 2025
16:00 Safa vs Tadamon Sour Analysis →