Melhus 4-1 Rosenborg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.1pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.90/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/2.85
+17% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rosenborg II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-2 Melhus Melhus NOR4
27.05.2024 Melhus Melhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
05.09.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
01.09.2022 Melhus Melhus 4-1 HT 2-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melhus
4-1
AWAY Rosenborg II
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Rosenborg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus cruised past Rosenborg II 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Melhus had 48% of the ball to Rosenborg II's 52%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melhus had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melhus and 1.50 for Rosenborg II.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Rosenborg II?

Melhus 4-1 Rosenborg II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Rosenborg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Melhus 49%, draw 29%, Rosenborg II 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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