Rosenborg II 1-2 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.31
No
38%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.8pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 38%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
3.98/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.58
+89% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Melhus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 Melhus Melhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
05.09.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
01.09.2022 Melhus Melhus 4-1 HT 2-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg II
1-2
AWAY Melhus
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus nicked a narrow win over Rosenborg II 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rosenborg II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rosenborg II had 58% of the ball to Melhus's 42%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rosenborg II and 2.00 for Melhus.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Melhus?

Rosenborg II 1-2 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 46%, draw 24%, Melhus 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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