Sarpsborg 08 II 2-1 Skeid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.31
No
40%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
12.55
2-3 Goals
31%
2.84
4-5 Goals
38%
2.3
6+ Goals
17%
2.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-1.0pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.5pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Skeid II EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.68/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.39
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
450 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Skeid II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 Skeid II Skeid II 2-3 HT 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
11.09.2023 Skeid II Skeid II 2-3 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
30.05.2023 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 2-2 HT 1-2 Skeid II Skeid II NOR4
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Skeid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II nicked a narrow win over Skeid II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sarpsborg 08 II as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sarpsborg 08 II and 2.00 for Skeid II.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Skeid II?

Sarpsborg 08 II 2-1 Skeid II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Skeid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 63%, draw 16%, Skeid II 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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