Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.18
Over 2.5
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
6+ Goals
15%
9.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.41
X/2
7%
8.62
X/X
9%
5.42
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
13%
5.99
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 27%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.06/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.82
+76% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +130%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
17.5 Crosses 14.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
14.04.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-2 HT 0-2 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
04.11.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
07.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNSL
23.06.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 HT 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0.45 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
412 Passes 335
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Cangzhou Mighty Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Qingdao Jonoon at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 55% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 45%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.45 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.00 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 49%, draw 24%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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