Örebro 4-1 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 2 Aug 2024

Örebro
4-1 HT 1-1
Östersunds FK
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örebro vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.77
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
20%
4.71
X/2
9%
7.09
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.9
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.31/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
-17% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Örebro vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.58 xG 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
338 Passes 213
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.10.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 4-3 HT 3-2 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
09.04.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
10.09.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
09.05.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
22.09.2021 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro cruised past Östersunds FK 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Örebro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Örebro and 1.17 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Östersunds FK?

Örebro 4-1 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Örebro 43%, draw 27%, Östersunds FK 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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