GIF Sundsvall 1-0 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 24% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.43
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
7%
6.61
X/2
16%
5.02
X/X
8%
4.92
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.01
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.39/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.28
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIF Sundsvall
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
17.09.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-0 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
10.06.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 5-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIF Sundsvall
1-0
AWAY Utsiktens BK
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH GIF Sundsvall vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall squeezed past Utsiktens BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Utsiktens BK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, GIF Sundsvall had 41% of the ball to Utsiktens BK's 59%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for GIF Sundsvall and 2.00 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of GIF Sundsvall vs Utsiktens BK?

GIF Sundsvall 1-0 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIF Sundsvall vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GIF Sundsvall 33%, draw 26%, Utsiktens BK 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Utsiktens BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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