Utsiktens BK 1-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
15%
4.04
X/2
8%
8.7
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
6.89
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 25%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.54/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-0 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
10.06.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 5-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK squeezed past GIF Sundsvall 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utsiktens BK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Utsiktens BK and 0.50 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs GIF Sundsvall?

Utsiktens BK 1-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 46%, draw 28%, GIF Sundsvall 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utsiktens BK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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