Skövde AIK 1-0 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Apr 2024

Skövde AIK
1-0 HT 1-0
Trelleborgs FF
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✓
23%
4.6
1/2
4%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
6.08
X/2
9%
4.83
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.32
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.6 — our 23% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Skövde AIK v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -38%
1.63/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.90
+15% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-2 HT 1-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
20.05.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-3 HT 0-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
08.10.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 3-1 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
25.07.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
22.06.2014 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 3-2 HT 3-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ3

Skövde AIK 1-0 Trelleborgs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skövde AIK
1-0
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skövde AIK nicked a narrow win over Trelleborgs FF 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Skövde AIK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Skövde AIK had 43% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 57%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Skövde AIK and 2.00 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF?

Skövde AIK 1-0 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skövde AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 40%, draw 26%, Trelleborgs FF 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skövde AIK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skövde AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
20 Apr 2024
14:00 Sandvikens IF vs Östers Analysis →
16:00 Östersunds FK vs Örgryte Analysis →
16:00 Utsiktens BK vs GIF Sundsvall Analysis →