Östersunds FK 1-1 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Apr 2024

Östersunds FK
1-1 HT 0-0
Örgryte
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östersunds FK vs Örgryte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.39
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.19
X/2
11%
8.48
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
11%
6.42
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Örgryte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.55/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.48
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Östersunds FK vs Örgryte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 2-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
11.06.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
17.09.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
24.05.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
05.10.2013 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
08.06.2013 Örgryte Örgryte 2-1 HT 1-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2

Östersunds FK 1-1 Örgryte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östersunds FK
1-1
AWAY Örgryte
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK and Örgryte shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Östersunds FK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Östersunds FK had 59% of the ball to Örgryte's 41%, shots finished 20-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.00 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Örgryte?

Östersunds FK 1-1 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 41%, draw 27%, Örgryte 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Östersunds FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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