Bayreuth 1-0 Eintracht Bamberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Bamberg EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.27
+8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Eintracht Bamberg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg 2-2 HT 0-2 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Eintracht Bamberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth nicked a narrow win over Eintracht Bamberg 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayreuth and 1.50 for Eintracht Bamberg.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Eintracht Bamberg?

Bayreuth 1-0 Eintracht Bamberg in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Eintracht Bamberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 53%, draw 26%, Eintracht Bamberg 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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