Sportfreunde Lotte 3-2 Gütersloh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.44/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
3-2
AWAY Gütersloh
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Gütersloh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte nicked a narrow win over Gütersloh 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sportfreunde Lotte had 57% of the ball to Gütersloh's 43%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Gütersloh?

Sportfreunde Lotte 3-2 Gütersloh in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Gütersloh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 47%, draw 24%, Gütersloh 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ BTTS Yes
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