Viktoria Berlin 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.72/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.36
+6% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
08.12.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
27.07.2019 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
05.07.2017 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
1-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin and Rot-Weiss Erfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Berlin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 44% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Erfurt's 56%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 0.83 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Viktoria Berlin 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 42%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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