SV Horn 2-3 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.45
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
15%
6.28
X/2
8%
5.15
X/X
9%
5.14
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.13
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.39/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.48
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.1 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 3-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
14.10.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
25.02.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 3-2 HT 2-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
08.08.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
18.04.2021 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 1-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
06.11.2020 SV Horn SV Horn 3-2 HT 1-2 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien II nicked a narrow win over SV Horn 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rapid Wien II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Horn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SV Horn and 1.17 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Rapid Wien II?

SV Horn 2-3 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Horn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 39%, draw 25%, Rapid Wien II 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Horn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Horn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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