Stripfing 0-1 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
57%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
5.26
2-3 Goals
33%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
6.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.26 — our 28% vs market 14.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.0
1/2
10%
20.2
1/X
5%
19.4
X/1
7%
15.2
X/2
16%
3.64
X/X
15%
7.62
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.63
2/X
5%
19.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.7pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-10.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stripfing EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 71%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
2.24/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.97
+95% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.0 Crosses 25.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stripfing
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ried
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
01.03.2024 Ried Ried 5-0 HT 2-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
11.08.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 1-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AU2
POST-MATCH Stripfing vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried squeezed past Stripfing 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stripfing and 2.50 for Ried.

What was the final score of Stripfing vs Ried?

Stripfing 0-1 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stripfing vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stripfing 19%, draw 24%, Ried 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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