Admira Wacker 0-1 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.0
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
16%
3.8
X/2
7%
10.9
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
2/2
11%
8.51
2/X
6%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.53/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.97
-45% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
11.0 Crosses 11.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
30.09.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
18.04.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
16.09.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-4 HT 1-2 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
16.10.2020 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-2 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AUK
17.06.2017 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 4-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
0-1
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV squeezed past Admira Wacker 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Admira Wacker at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 62% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 38%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Admira Wacker and 1.17 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV?

Admira Wacker 0-1 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 50%, draw 24%, Kapfenberger SV 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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