Admira Wacker 1-0 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
11%
3.9
X/2
10%
9.13
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
15%
7.18
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.53/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
-19% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 64%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
11.0 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
18.04.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
16.09.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-4 HT 1-2 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
16.10.2020 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-2 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AUK
17.06.2017 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 4-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV HAZ
13.06.2014 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
1-0
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker squeezed past Kapfenberger SV 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Admira Wacker as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 64% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 36%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Admira Wacker and 1.33 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV?

Admira Wacker 1-0 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 43%, draw 26%, Kapfenberger SV 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Admira Wacker), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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