Leoben 1-2 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.92
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
14%
6.7
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.53
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leoben EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.75/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.49
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
Crosses 14.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leoben
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Liefering
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.93 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
176 Passes 313
59% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-2 HT 1-1 Leoben Leoben AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leoben
1-2
AWAY FC Liefering
2.75 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
288 Passes 277
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leoben vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering squeezed past Leoben 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day FC Liefering made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Leoben had 54% of the ball to FC Liefering's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.75 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leoben.

What was the final score of Leoben vs FC Liefering?

Leoben 1-2 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leoben vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leoben 37%, draw 26%, FC Liefering 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5
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