First Vienna 2-0 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.98
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
10%
5.05
X/2
8%
6.59
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
2/2
20%
4.33
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.74/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.60
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lafnitz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-3 HT 2-2 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
04.06.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 1-2 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
02.09.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-0 HT 2-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
2-0
AWAY Lafnitz
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna saw off Lafnitz 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had First Vienna as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, First Vienna had 49% of the ball to Lafnitz's 51%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lafnitz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for First Vienna and 2.33 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Lafnitz?

First Vienna 2-0 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 42%, draw 24%, Lafnitz 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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