Inter Turku 3-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 Aug 2024

Inter Turku
3-0 HT 1-0
IFK Mariehamn
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.9
X/1
13%
3.93
X/2
9%
10.35
X/X
5%
5.33
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
11%
7.94
2/X
8%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Turku v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
2.11/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.32
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.7 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.33 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
372 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.05.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
03.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
30.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.05.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
04.02.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
04.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-3 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN

Inter Turku 3-0 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
2.43 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
443 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku swept aside IFK Mariehamn 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Inter Turku had 57% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 43%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 2.43 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter Turku and 1.33 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Inter Turku 3-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 50%, draw 24%, IFK Mariehamn 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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