Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
75%
-9.7pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.77/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.66
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
21.8 Crosses 9.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.11 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
463 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
27.01.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
08.10.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.07.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.04.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
15.03.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
5-0
AWAY Istra 1961
1.80 xG 0.25
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
582 Passes 204
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb cruised past Istra 1961 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 72% of the ball to Istra 1961's 28%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 1.80 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.33 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 65%, draw 20%, Istra 1961 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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