Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 7 Apr 2024

Dinamo Zagreb
4-1 HT 2-1
Istra 1961
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
20%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 28% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
78%
-13.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Zagreb v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.80/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.69
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
22.9 Crosses 9.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.11 xG 0.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
438 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
08.10.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.07.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.04.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
15.03.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
10.02.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR

Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4-1
AWAY Istra 1961
2.11 xG 1.13
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
608 Passes 216
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb cruised past Istra 1961 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 70% of the ball to Istra 1961's 30%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.11 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.17 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 64%, draw 20%, Istra 1961 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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