Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gornik Zabrze v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
POLK
1-0
HT 1-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
2-1
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
1-4
HT 1-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
2-2
HT 1-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Gornik Zabrze edged past Pogon Szczecin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Gornik Zabrze made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 49% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 51%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.44 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gornik Zabrze's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.17 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin?
Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 34%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), BTTS Yes went the other way.