Pogon Szczecin vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
POLK
1-0
HT 1-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
2-1
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
1-4
HT 1-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
2-2
HT 1-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
2-0
HT 1-0
Gornik Zabrze
POL
Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin squeezed past Gornik Zabrze 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 51% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 49%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.24 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pogon Szczecin's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.67 for Gornik Zabrze.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Gornik Zabrze?
Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Gornik Zabrze?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 52%, draw 22%, Gornik Zabrze 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.