Radomiak Radom 1-3 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.4pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.63/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
-25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
25.6 Crosses 21.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.41 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
262 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
21.05.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-1 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.11.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
26.02.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
29.08.2020 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 4-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
1-3
AWAY Widzew Lodz
2.04 xG 2.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz saw off Radomiak Radom 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Widzew Lodz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 49% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.04 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Radomiak Radom and 0.80 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz?

Radomiak Radom 1-3 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 40%, draw 27%, Widzew Lodz 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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