Yunnan Yukun 4-4 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
64%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.73
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
29%
2.36
6+ Goals
12%
4.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
17.4
1/X
4%
17.0
X/1
7%
12.8
X/2
13%
4.38
X/X
9%
8.07
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
38%
1.75
2/X
4%
15.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 17.4 — our 13% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.8pp
64%
Away Win
64%
+0.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 69%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.74/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.83
-21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
22.7 Crosses 16.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.54 xG 4.26
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 36
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 16
148 Passes 466
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 67
12 Crosses 46
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
23.06.2023 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
4-4
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.88 xG 2.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 10
160 Passes 320
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun and Shanghai Shenhua couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shanghai Shenhua at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 39% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 61%, shots finished 19-25, expected goals 1.88 to 2.97.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 2.50 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Yunnan Yukun 4-4 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 19%, draw 17%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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