Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.81
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.7
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
7%
12.2
X/X
9%
6.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.45
2/2
9%
9.22
2/X
5%
17.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.45 — our 7% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.14
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
26.1 Crosses 12.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.30 xG 0.55
58% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
316 Passes 222
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
02.04.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-3 HT 0-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
24.09.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
17.08.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
08.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
2.89 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
527 Passes 334
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
48 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Shandong Taishan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 60% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 40%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 2.89 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.00 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 60%, draw 20%, Shandong Taishan 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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